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Programme
B8 -
Self-Organising Networks and Trading Cooperation: GIS tools in the visualization of the Atlantic Economic expansion. (1400-1800) Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
The purposes of the panel are exploring the evolution of self-organizing networks of merchants, producers, communities, and government officials in the emergence of the first global age (1400-1800 C.E.). Commercial networks involved a high level of cooperation and served to move goods and people within a highly open system over an expanding geographic space. The panel will provide a forum to discuss how these commercial networks evolved in a self-organizing manner to maximize efficiency and profits. Organizers: • - Financial collaboration: a preliminary result using GIS technologies for studying Castilian fiscal system (1503-1525) Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
Researching about what is fiscal modernization is one of the most remarkable questions in Fiscal and Financial History. There have been a lot of very important historians, sociologists and economists who have tried to answer this question. Perhaps, the most important change in fiscal history has been How did the State begin to raise more and more money in order to support their expenses? • Ana Crespo Solana - A GIS experiment: Merchants Communities in the Spanish Trade with America: A case of Self-Organizing networks in the Atlantic in the first Global Age?
Historiography on Spanish colonial trade stresses the essential role played by non-Hispanic mercantile networks in the economic expansion in the Atlantic. Within the Iberian Peninsula proper, colonies of Anglo-Irish, French, Flemish, and Dutch and of other nationalities maintained a prosperous trade from the main urban nuclei. Late in the second half of the XVII century and throughout the Enlightened XVIII century, the old enemies of the Hispanic Monarchy had developed certain sophisticated operations within the framework of trade between Spain and America, from within the very heart of the state monopoly. Participants: • Isabel Del Bosque • Juan Gelabert • Xabier Lamikiz - Mapping Trading Networks in the Eighteenth-Century Spanish Colonial Trade: The Merchants of Lima and their Contacts in Europe as Reflected in the Mail Intercepted by the British
In this paper I will examine the correspondence found on board a Spanish merchant ship coming from colonial Peru that was intercepted by two British privateers in October 1779. The correspondence is held in the archive of the British High Court of Admiralty (the National Archives, London). It includes nearly two thousand envelopes containing letters, accounts and various documents sent by a total of 540 people to 926 addressees located in 154 cities, towns and villages scattered throughout Spain and Europe. • Roberto Maestre - "Reformuling Socio-Economic Systems. An approaching to a conceptual model on Historical GIS."
En el proyecto DynCoopNet (Dynamic Cooperation Network) se está elaborando un Sistema de Información Geográfica (SIG) espacio-temporal sobre redes de cooperación en las rutas de la Monarquía Hispánica. Este sistema integrará diversas bases de datos históricas, dándolas un significado global, que ayudarán a comprender la dinámica de este complejo sistema, y a responder cuestiones acerca de la evolución de la cooperación de las redes comerciales auto-organizativas de la primera era global (1400-1800). El modelo de datos conceptual que se presenta en este trabajo pone en relación dos grandes bloques de información histórica: por un lado el ciclo de vida de los navíos que intervinieron en las operaciones comerciales de esa época, y por otro lado las relaciones de cooperación que establecieron los diferentes agentes entre sí en localizaciones geográficas concretas. • Amândio Jorge Morais Barros • Rila Mukherjee • Esther Pérez Asensio • Antoni Picazo i Muntaner - PUERTOS, COMERCIO Y REDES. UN EJEMPLO: EL COMERCIO DE MANILA. BASES DE DATOS PARA UN SIG DE INVESTIGACIÓN HISTÓRICA El estudio de las redes comerciales del Océano Índico y el Pacífico nos permite conocer sobre que bases se estructuró el capitalismo moderno y las relaciones que se establecieron no solo entre Europa y Oriente, sino también con el sistema comercial del Atlántico y los cambios que provocarían • Sara Pinto • Amélia Polónia - Self organized networks. Cooperation flows between Iberian empires (16th-17th. Centuries)
Analysis of European empires in the Early Modern Age are usually focused on central power strategies and imperial rivalries. It is, on the contrary, our perception that several individuals or groups contributed extensively to these dynamics, at times to an even greater extent than the central power itself. Based on the study of Iberian maritime expansion this paper sustains that a widespread cooperation was in place and linked, through self organized networks, Portuguese and Castilian/ Spanish empires, in which individual initiative was a key factor. • Javier Quinteros Cortés - Political-Trade Networks, Black Market and Economic Speculation: Business between Isabella I -the Catholic Queen- and the clan Rey in the Kingdom of Murcia (1474-1504) Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
In the last quarter of the 15th Century the performance of the genoese family Rey, in the Kingdom of Murcia, not only emphasizes for his action in the business of the alums -topic up to the moment partially studied- but for a certain legal business, especially imports and exports of cereal, that indeed only mask commercial activities that well we might consider to be like illegal from the moment that his economic benefits to fiscal level do not know. • Ana Ribeiro - From sources to GIS results: the methodological path of the DynCoopNet Portuguese team In the aim of the DynCoopNet Project, the Portuguese team will focus the attention studying cooperation among Iberian trade networks in the XVI and XVII centuries. For our purpose we have been using the information collected in the Simón Ruiz archive, namely the bills of exchange and commercial correspondence. In our brief presentation we pretend to prove the advantages of these data sources in the reconstruction of a merchant network, as well as showing cooperation mechanisms. Secondly, we’ll demonstrate our methodology consisting in an agent-based database (TimeLink) and how we extract data regarding spatial information. TimeLink can also deal with geo-tagged data in order to export it to GIS software. Finally we would like to drive the attention to our expectations on this kind of visualization method and on what it can bring to our project main questions. • Juan Manuel Sánchez-Crespo Camacho • Werner Scheltjens - Exploring the dynamics of populations of maritime ship masters using visual analytics tools Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
In this paper, I present a method for the study of populations of maritime ship masters using visual analytics tools. This method is founded in evolutionary thinking and aims to provide a framework for the historical study of maritime transportation as an integral economic activity, rather than as a spin-off effect of trade. The method presented in this paper consists of three techniques and covers three levels of analysis. • Donatella Strangio • Tijl Vanneste - The Binding Mechanisms of Trade Networks: Business Correspondence and Webs of Credit This paper deals with the idea of cross-cultural trade networks. A growing amount of studies situated in fields such as global history, Atlantic history or imperial history focus on human interaction as the fundamental notion in the construction of historical spaces. It stresses human agency, but not exclusively on an individual basis. Historical force is instead given to groups of individuals, and different types of relationships. Trade networks, both mono- as well as cross-cultural take an important place in such narratives. If webs of human interaction are to function as perhaps the main analytical category in large-scale histories, it is important that the inner mechanisms of such informal organizations are researched. Especially in the case of cross-cultural connections, issues of trust, creditworthiness and reputation are central. These issues can be analyzed based on the frequent business correspondence maintained between different merchants. The sending of letters did not only serve as a tool in concrete business transactions, but was used to divulge information, enhance one’s reputation and establish regularity and stability. Secondly, they served as the main vehicle to become engaged in complicated strings of credit and money remittances. As such, business correspondence not only shows how trust was generated socially, but also economically. This allows for a quantitative and concrete analysis of long-distance and long-lasting commercial relationships. • Manuel Vaquero D8 -
Friendly societies, sickness insurance and the origins of the welfare state Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
Recent years have witnessed a growing interest in the history of sickness insurance schemes (including both mutual and commercial insurance schemes). Some historians have mined the records of these organisations for new information about the sickness experience of the people who belonged to them, whilst others have become increasingly interested in their contribution to the broader history of welfare provision. A proper understanding of their administrative and organisational structures is central to both undertakings. Organizers: • - Long-terms trends in health and sickness: further evidence from the Hampshire Friendly Society During the last two decades, a growing number of economic and social historians have used the records of friendly societies and other organisations with health insurance schemes to investigate the history of sickness and morbidity. This paper seeks to build on this work by utilising the individual sickness records of members of the Hampshire and General Friendly Society to reconstruct the sickness histories of more than 5000 working-class men in central-southern England between circa 1871 and 1950. During the course of the paper, we intend to examine the following issues: the seasonality of sickness claims; changes in the 'age-of-onset' of chronic morbidity; changes in age-specific morbidity rates; the causes of sickness claims; and the relationship between specific causes of sickness and the ages at which people fell ill. The paper will also raise important questions about the ‘cultural inflation of morbidity’ and the relationship between changing patterns of morbidity and the history of health care. • Marcel van der Linden Participants: • John Benson - Coalminers, Accidents and Insurance in Late 19th Century England
It is the aim of this paper to explore the determinants of friendly society membership in late nineteenth-century England through an examination of the miners' permanent relief fund movement (which insured against industrial accidents). • Nicholas Broten - From Sickness to Death: Reassessing the Financial Viability of the Friendly Societies
In the academic narrative of the origins of the welfare state in Britain, friendly societies have played a mixed role. The societies' almost complete exclusion of the poor has led many historians to discount their role in the political transformations of the early 20th century (Thane 2004). Further, most historians have tacitly accepted the argument made by Gilbert (1965) that the friendly societies were increasingly insolvent into the late 19th century and that any political impact the societies had in shaping early pension legislation was related to their increased financial stress. Related to this claim is the common argument that the friendly societies, with their quasi-moralizing, cultish rules and non-actuarial pricing systems, were irrational institutions that were unable to compete with emergent commercial insurance providers and eventually state provisions. • Andrew Hinde • Pilar Leon Sanz - The evolution of medical assistance provided by
The introduction of Obligatory Heath Insurance and the National Health in Spain took place during the 1940’s. Until this time, the Mutual Benefit Societies and other private associations had a great relevance in organizing precautionary measures for workers and their families. • John Murray - Asymmetric information and countermeasures in early 20c United States disability insurance funds According to standard economic theory, asymmetric information characterizes many insurance contracts. Empirically, results have been mixed, with health economists finding evidence of asymmetric information but specialists in the economics of contracts generally not. Using historical data, this paper takes a more direct approach in three ways. First, it tests for the presence of moral hazard and adverse selection in a straightforward type of insurance contract. In short-term disability insurance, a cash payment to replace lost wages enabled sick or injured workers to take time off work, and it may have encouraged them to do so when otherwise healthy. Second, this paper avoids much of the endogeneity problems of recent studies because insured workers had no choice in their contract’s premium and benefit structure. Third, insurers understood the importance of asymmetric information and included countermeasures in these contracts. This paper estimates the strength of such countermeasures. This study concludes that evidence for the presence of adverse selection was stronger than that for moral hazard, but that both were present and that insurers’ countermeasures against each effectively reduced claims. • Jeronia Pons - Friendly societies, commercial insurance and the state in sickness risk coverage: the case of Spain (1880-1944) The main objective of this paper is to analyse what factors conditioned the configuration of the different models of sickness coverage on the two sides of the Atlantic, the viability of voluntary systems or the presence of the social state? Yet it is possible, however, that both alternatives are the two sides of the same coin. In other words, was it the growing presence of the state in social matters which led to the non-viability of other forms of voluntary protection in European countries? In order to deal with these questions, this paper analyses the case of Spain, one of the last capitalist countries to approve a state sickness insurance, despite the fact that the alternative networks of voluntary cover did not meet the needs of the population. • Paolo Tedeschi - A New Welfare System: the Friendly Societies in the Eastern Lombardy from 1860 to 1914
The aims of this paper is to show the development of the Friendly Societies (in Italy called “Società di Mutuo Soccorso”, hereafter SMS) in the Eastern Lombardy (province of Brescia and Bergamo) from the birth of the Italian State to the start of the first world war. In this period in the Eastern Lombardy the number of the SMS greatly increased: in 1860 SMS were 7 and in 1914 they were nearly 500. In the same time their members grew up from 3,500 to 37,000 (and this figure is underestimated because it is impossible to calculate the member of many SMS). • Margarita Vilar - Friendly societies, commercial insurance and the state in sickness risk coverage: the case of Spain (1880-1944) The main objective of this paper is to analyse what factors conditioned the configuration of the different models of sickness coverage on the two sides of the Atlantic, the viability of voluntary systems or the presence of the social state? Yet it is possible, however, that both alternatives are the two sides of the same coin. In other words, was it the growing presence of the state in social matters which led to the non-viability of other forms of voluntary protection in European countries? In order to deal with these questions, this paper analyses the case of Spain, one of the last capitalist countries to approve a state sickness insurance, despite the fact that the alternative networks of voluntary cover did not meet the needs of the population. • Robert Vonk - Going private? Statutory health insurance, sickness funds and the development of private health insurance in the Netherlands 1940-2006
The increasing costs of drugs and medical treatment during the first half of the twentieth century generated a growing demand for health insurance among the middle income groups in the Netherlands. Due to the height of their income most middle class families could not join the already existing sickness fund schemes. Soon a bustling private health insurance market emerged. Contrary to sickness funds which provided an insurance scheme based on service benefits, these private health insurance companies offered indemnity insurance with (different levels of) cash reimbursement for the costs of medical care. Though there was some market segments services by sickness funds and private health insurance companies, they coexisted relatively peacefully. E8 -
Historical Roots of Poverty and Well-Being in Developing Countries Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
A recent development in the field of economic history, albeit with older antecedents, which has spurred a great scholarly interest, is the effort of tracing the historical roots of current divergence of incomes and occurrences of poverty in the world. It has recently famously been argued that the fundamental cause of current income levels is the lack of pro-growth institutions which originated under the colonial system. However, tracing the cause of current economic success long back in history runs the risk of neglecting important developments which lie in between time t=0 and today. Growth has been episodic in developing countries, and it is a major challenge to distinguish which periods were important and which were perverse or unsustainable. Organizers: • - Colonial copper and postcolonial diamonds: comparing the economic history of Zambia and Botswana c. 1900 2000
Thanks to developments in copper mining during the colonial period Zambia was one of the richest • Alexander Moradi - Exploring the evolution of living standards in Ghana, 1880-2000: An anthropometric approach
How did living standards in Ghana develop in the long run? The obvious constraint for a long-term perspective is the limited amount of good data and a consistent measure of human well-being. This is especially the case for the period of colonial rule. Using anthropometric techniques we explore the evolution of living standards and regional inequality in Ghana from 1880 to 2000. Participants: • Gareth Austin • Joerg Baten • Denis Cogneau - Living Conditions in Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana and Western Africa 1925-1985: What Do Survey Data on Height Stature Tell Us? We find with survey data that the increase in height stature experienced by successive cohorts born in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana during the late colonial period (1925-1960) is almost as high as the increase observed in France and Great-Britain over the 1875-1975 period, even when correcting for the bias arising from old-age shrinking. In contrast, the early post-colonial period (1960-1985) is characterized by stagnation or even reversion, not only in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana but also in other countries in Western Africa. We argue that the selection effects linked for instance to measuring the height of women rather than of men, then of mothers rather than of women, and most importantly the interactions between height and mortality cannot give account of these figures. We then disaggregate these national trends by parental background and district of birth, and match individual data with district-level historical data on export crop (cocoa) expansion, urban density and colonial investment in health and educations. We provide evidence that a significant share of the increase in height stature may be related to the progresses of urbanization and of cocoa production. • José Díaz • Ewout Frankema - Raising Revenue in the British Empire, 1870-1940: How ‘extractive’ were colonial taxes? Colonial tax systems have shaped state-economy relationships in the formative stages of many present day nation states. This paper surveys the variety in colonial tax systems across 34 dominions, colonies and protectorates during the heydays of British Imperialism (1870-1940). It compares and discusses per capita tax incidences and the source composition of colonial public revenue and assesses the results on the basis of different views in the literature regarding the function and impact of colonial fiscal regimes: is there a clear distinction between ‘extractive colonies’ and ‘settler colonies’ in relative tax rates and the source composition of taxation? How ‘extractive’ were colonial taxes in the ‘extractive colonies’ of British Africa, Asia and the Caribbean? The main argument of the paper is that there is little evidence for the view that ‘excessive taxation’ or a specific source composition has been a crucial characteristic of ‘extractive institutions’ in non-settler colonies. Moreover, the paper finds a strong positive correlation between colonial tax incidences and long term post-colonial GDP growth rates. This nuances the Acemoglu et al. (2001, 2002) hypothesis and calls for a further decomposition of the term ‘extractive institutions’ as such. The Engerman-Sokoloff-Zolt hypothesis (2000, 2006) that specific distributive relations shape fiscal policies in American settler societies may be extended to some parts of Sub Saharan Africa. • Christer Gunnarsson - The Vietnam Land Question - A Reversal of Fortune in Colonial Times
That economic history and institutional economics share common grounds is evidenced by the works of Acemoglu et al (AJR) tracing the roots of underdevelopment, which are identified in terms of institutional inefficiencies, back to early colonial times. Although this should be welcomed by economic historians, who often grumble about the narrow time horizon of economists and their tendency to prescribe universally applicable policy blueprints regardless of historical context, questions may be raised about the explanatory power of this approach for understanding differential growth and poverty reduction paths of today’s developing countries. • Kris Inwood - The Historical Roots of Poverty and Inequality in South Africa: the Coloured Population Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide We examine the current pattern of inequality in late 20th century South Africa and then look for its historical roots with a particular focus on the position of the Coloured population. Growing inequity in access to education and labour legislation was informed by a hardening of race-based social categorization during the 19th century. Further institutionalization of racial categories amid the growth of the public sector and regulation during the first half of the 20th century cemented a pattern of inequality that has survived in a modified form to this day. We attempt to monitor the position of the Coloured population through this long-run process using available evidence on social, economic and physical well-being. • Montserrat Lopez Jerez • Oliver Masakure • Paul Mosley - Poltics, public expenditure and the evolution of poverty in Africa 1920-2007 We investigate the historical roots of poverty, with particular reference to the experience of Africa during the twentieth century. Like the recent studies by Acemoglu et al (2001, etc) we find that institutional inheritance is an important influence on current underdevelopment;unlike them , however, we find that the influence of policies on institutions is highly significant, and that, in Africa at least, a high representation of European settlers in land ownership and policy-making was a source of weakness, not strength. We argue this thesis, using mortality rates as our main index of well-being, with reference to two settler colonies (Kenya and Zimbabwe) and two peasant export economies(Uganda and Ghana). Our findings suggest that, in Africa, settler-type political systems tended to produce highly inequal income distributions and, as a result, patterns of public expenditure and investment in human capital which were strongly biased against small holder agriculture and thence against poverty reduction. In contrast, we argue that peasant-export type political systems produced more equal income distributions whose policy structures were less biased against the poor. As a consequence, liberalisation during the 1980s and 1990s produced asymmetric results, with poverty falling sharply in the 'peasant export' and rising in the settler economies. These contrasts in the evolution of poverty in the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries, we argue, can only be understood by reference to differences between the two systems whose roots lie in political decisions taken a hundred years previously. • Leandro Prados de la Escosura - International Inequality and Polarization in Living Standards, 1870-2000. Evidence from the Western World A long-run view of inter-country inequality in living standards is provided for a large sample of countries in Western Europe, the European Offshoots, Japan –OECD, for short- and Latin America. A long term rise in real per capita income inequality is found. The deepening gap between OECD and Latin America was the major factor beneath this increase. Inequality in non-economic indicators of well-being (longevity, education, and human development) fell in the long run but a gap between OECD and Latin America remained by 2000. Polarization took place in the Western World during the second half of the twentieth century. • Tirthankar Roy - Agricultural Workers and the Debate on the Historical Roots of Poverty in South Asia Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
The received narrative on the origins of rural poverty in South Asia attributes poverty to the disruptive effects of the nineteenth century globalization, especially the destruction of traditional handicrafts and consequent pressure upon agriculture. Whereas the decline of craft industries is explained in the standard view with reference to cost-competitiveness of Indian production, a non-standard view speculates that fall in agricultural yield in the late eighteenth century due to Mughal decline added to the decline of the crafts by raising the cost of wage goods. These stylized stories predict a fall in real wages in agriculture. In this paper, I consider the evidence on long-term trends in real wage and standard of living of the agricultural worker to shed some light on the historical roots of rural poverty. • Gert Wagner - Accumulation, Institutions and Opportunities: Chile´s Long Run Growth The aim of the paper is to expand our understanding of Chilean economic long-run growth in two fundamental dimensions. First, it provides a traditional growth accounting view identifying factor contributions and total factor productivity. Second, it offers a framework as an organizing scenario for exploring consistency between opportunities and institutions, on the one hand, and factor contribution to growth on the other. • Warren Whatley - The Impact of the Slave Trade on African Economies This paper has three parts. In the first part we present econometric evidence showing that increases in the international demand for enslaved Africans induced a reallocation of resources in Africa towards slave production and away from other economic pursuits. In the second part of the paper we use this econometric evidence to help specify theoretical models of conflict and cooperation in Africa before and after the slave trade. Our goal is to reveal the conditions under which the induced reallocation of resources also produced several negative externalities thought to impede long-term development in Africa. These include constraints on the growth of African states, increases in ethnic and social stratification, and predation. In the third part of the paper we test the predictions of these models against the history of the Asante Empire (present-day Ghana). We find that the models explain Asante’s origins and expansion extremely well, including the Asante Alliance, the causes and timing of territorial expansion, and the “southern problem.” We argue that the models reveal long-term consequences of slave production that apply to many African economies, not just Ghana. F8 -
Commodity Prices over Two Centuries: Recourse Curse, De-Industrialization, Volatility and Development Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
Most countries in the periphery have specialized in the export of just a handful of primary products for most of their history. Many shed this specialization in the 20th century and moved in to the export of manufactures and services. Some, especially in Africa, have not. Given the recent boom and bust in commodity prices, it might be a good time for economic historians to reassess commodity price experience and impact since the early 19th century. What has been the impact of commodity specialization? Did commodity price booms foster de-industrialization, and price busts industrialization? Have commodites alwasy been more price volatile in the short run than manufactures, and has that fact inhibited growth in the commodity exporters? Does commodity specialization foster inequality, anti-growth institutions and thus a resource curse? Were 19th and 20th century trade debates well informed on these issues and did policy reflect that fact? Was commodity price history the same in Eastern and Southern Europe, Latin America, Africa, the Middle East and Asia? Organizers: • - The Commodity Price Volatility and Growth Connection since 1700 Primary products, or export commodities as they are called, have far greater price volatility than do manufactures or services. In addition, Third World economies that specialize in such products have high export concentration and thus do not spread their risk, yielding even greater volatility in their terms of trade. Recent economic analysis has shown that price volatility of this sort has been very bad for long run growth in poor countries over the past four decades or so. Has it always been that way? This paper confirms that it has been so since 1700, and it helps explain the Great Divergence. • Giovanni Federico - Was industrialization an escape from the commodity lottery? Evidence from Italy, 1861-1940 The specialization in exporting primary products is frequently deemed harmful for long-run development, because it increases volatility of terms of trade and thus of the GDP. One would expect modern economic growth to solve the problem by changing the composition of trade. This paper tests this hypothesis with a new series of Italian terms of trade from 1861 to 1939, a period which spans the first stage of the industrialization of the country. The results do not tally with the hypothesis. The change in composition improved marginally the terms of trade, but it did not help much in terms of volatility. • José Antonio Ocampo - The Terms of Trade for Commodities since the Mid-Nineteenth Century This paper looks at the evolution of the terms of trade between commodities and manufactures since 1870, when steam navigation permitted international price equalization. Besides an updated statistical analysis of the relative price series for 24 commodities and eight indices pioneered by Grilli and Yang, we include other products that became more prominent during the 20 the century. For those products, we calculate a new price index, since 1962, that provides a detailed evolution of the more relevant products still traded today. As our previous analysis showed, and as the Economist Commodity Price Index history reveals, there has been a significant long-run deterioration in their barter terms of trade. However, this decline was neither continuous, nor was it distributed evenly among individual products, however. The data identifies new breaks and characteristics of the series that have accompanied the long term stepwise deterioration in aggregate real prices for raw materials. Participants: • Marc Badia Miró - The impact of the mining prices in the localization of the industry in Chile, 1895 – 1967.
The localization of the industry in Chile between the ends of the 19th century and 1967, is related with the evolution of the regional distribution of the mining GDP. In the same way, this is extremely determined by the evolution of the nitrate and cooper prices cycles. After the Pacific War, the provinces of the “Norte Grande” leaded the export boom of the nitrates until the end of the First World War. The result is the highest figures in the concentration of the regional mining GDP. During the twenties, the beginning in the growth of the cooper production changed this pattern. This was more spatially diffused than the nitrate one (Antofagasta in the north and O’Higgins, Santiago and Aconcagua in the centre). The collapse of the world markets during the Great Depression affected all the mining exports. Afterwards, the nitrates never recovered their importance but the cooper became the new leading product. The result during the thirties and the forties was a decrease in the concentration figures of the mining production localization, until the expansion of the oil production in Magallanes (in the south), in the sixties. • Gregg Huff - The Currency Board System, Terms of Trade and Industrialization in Pre-World War II Malaya This paper develops a model of the terms of trade and money supply determination under a currency board system to analyze industrialization in pre-World War II Malaya. Still a largely empty land in the 1870s, Malaya provides a global periphery variant to the late nineteenth-century de-industrialization hypothesis. Specialization in tin and rubber production for world markets fostered industry where previously little had existed. I argue, however, that even in the 1930s industrial development in Malaya still fell well short of what might have been expected in a country of rapid economic growth and relatively high per capita income. Dutch disease effects arising from volatile primary commodity export prices and currency board requirements limited the potential for industrialization in Malaya. Weak financial development and severe credit contraction in times of economic downturn led to sharp falls in demand in the Malayan economy and left local entrepreneurs unable to borrow from the banks. • Vicente Pinilla - TERMS OF TRADE OF AGRICULTURAL AND FOOD PRODUCTS, 1951-2000
Our objective is to concentrate on analysing the evolution of the terms of trade for products comprising agricultural and food trade in the second half of the last century. We therefore attempt to evaluate in what direction the real prices of these products have moved. In line with the abovementioned literature, which emphasises that the behaviour of the terms of trade for primary products has varied significantly, depending on the products and period in question, we have attempted to perform a highly disaggregated analysis for the set of products of agricultural origin, with the aim of excluding raw materials not of this nature. • Raúl Serrano • Michelangelo Vasta • Matías Vernengo - How finance shaped the patterns of development of Latin American economies in the 19th and 20th centuries Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
From 2002 to 2007 Latin America registered one of the highest average growth rates in three decades. Aggregate demand decomposition into the three major sectors of the economy (external, government and private) shows that the growth trajectory is explained, mainly by the favorable performance of the external sector. Since the late 1990s, Latin America has been able to reduce its current account imbalance, and from 2002 onwards, managed to achieve a surplus. The improvement in the external sector conditions is attributable to a great extent, to a price commodity boom that benefited a subset of Latin American countries, namely those that specialize in the exports of commodity products and which comprise mainly South American economies and Mexico. The commodity boom allowed some of these countries to post surpluses in the fiscal and/or the balance-of-payments current accounts. The commodity boom reinforced an export and production structure that is traditionally natural resource oriented. During this boom period, an analysis the ten leading traditional Latin American exports products on a country-by-country basis, classified by major categories shows that most of these economies have reinforced/intensified their commodity export specialization. The commodity boom is explained in part by the increased demand for primary products from Asian countries and, in particular, China, and speculation in commodity futures. The increased demand for primary products from China, and speculation in commodity futures are determined by financial factors and more specifically by the so called financial global imbalances. This episode, whereby, commodity prices, and the ensuing export specialization pattern, responds to financial factors is not unique to the most recent sustained growth period in Latin America. In the nineteenth century (in the last three decades of the nineteenth century) Latin American economies also witnessed a commodity export boom driven in part by a wave of foreign investments starting in 1870. • Henry Willebald - NATURAL RESOURCE ABUNDANT ECONOMIES DURING THE FIRST GLOBALISATION AND THE INTERWAR PERIOD: GROWTH, INEQUALITY AND FRONTIER EXPANSION (1870-1940) The effects of the First Globalisation on economic growth and income distribution in the New World figure prominently in the recent literature about the economic history of the late 19th century and the first decades of the 20th century. This paper reviews the stylized facts that characterized the economic development of selected settler economies (Argentina, Australia, Canada, Chile, New Zealand and Uruguay) from 1870 to the Second World War in terms of growth, inequality, structural change, land frontier expansion, capital flows and prices. Besides, it discusses some analytical approaches –in the “Staple Theory” tradition– useful for understanding the evolution of the economic performance and inequality in natural resource-abundant economies. • César Yáñez G8 -
The Transformation of the International Order of Asia in the 1950s and 1960s Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
This session will reconsider the transformation of the international order of Asia in the 1950s and 1960s by integrating new perspectives. After the collapse of the ‘Cold War Regime’ in 1991, economic historians paid new attention to the complex relationship between geopolitics and economic development in order to explore the origins of the ‘East Asian Miracle’. In this respect, we might be able to explain the transformation of the international order of Asia in the 1950s and 1960s as a proto-model for the later development of an industrialization-based international order. Organizers: • - The Transformation of the Colombo Plan and the Sterling Area in the late 1950s and the early 1960s • Shoichi Watanabe - The British Commonwealth Foreign Ministers Conference in 1950 and the Formation of the Colombo Plan This paper will be to make clear the background of the formation of the Colombo Plan through the Commonwealth Foreign Ministers Conference in Colombo in 1950. This plan was very important to think about the reconstruction of the new international order in Asia, because it was the comprehensive and valid plan to improve and develop the Asian People’s living standards against the spreading Communism. There were the much heavier conditions of Great Britain as the old hegemony power and the United States as the new leader to reconstruct the international order corporately from 1940s to the first years of 1950s. When Great Britain sometimes opened the British Commonwealth Prime Ministers Conferences, they thought about the another conferences in the ministers levels, i.e. the British Commonwealth Finance Ministers Conference and the British Commonwealth Foreign Ministers Conference. Great Britain had the matters to resolve in the near future such as the sterling balances, the Japanese Peace Settlement as the head of the British Commonwealth. In Asia, the countries had not the full money and system to develop their national states, while there occurred the menace of the Chinese communism. India remained as the new member of the British Commonwealth and Australia eager to absorb the Southeast Asia in her new markets had the casting board in the Conference. • Nicholas J. White - 'A Waste of Time and Money?' The Colombo Plan in Malaya, Singapore and the Borneo Territories during the 1950s Historians have produced few analyses of precisely how host countries and territories reacted to or were affected by the Colombo Plan, once it became operational after 1951. This paper will focus upon the British Southeast Asian colonial territories, which today constitute the independent nation states of Malaysia, Singapore and Brunei. It assesses why the Plan had limited impact upon Commonwealth Southeast Asia. Principally, this was due to colonial status as well as the non-materialisation of US funding for the Plan. Only in the field of technical co-operation – particularly with the ‘White’ Dominions, and later Japan – did the Plan make a significant contribution to the late-colonial development effort. Even here, however, there were limitations on the scope and impact of aid schemes. Participants: • Ilya V. Gaiduk - PEACE OFFENSIVE BETWEEN THE TWO WARS: Khrushchev’s Policy toward Asia, 1953-1964 The new Soviet leadership was determined to reverse Moscow's previous policy of neglect of the Third World as a part of its new strategy of detente and peaceful coexistence. Khrushchev sought to strengthen Soviet positions in Asia and, with this purpose, to develop economic relations with the countries in the Asia-Pacific. The Soviet leaders' primary goal in assisting and trading with such countries as India, Indonesia and Burma was to solidify their neutralist sentiments and to increase Soviet influence there by strengthening feelings of sympathy and gratitude toward the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union cooperated with Asian countries through bilateral channels as well as through the United Nations aid programs, such as EPTA. Soviet efforts in developing economic relations with Asian countries and providing them aid and technical assistance and support brought Moscow visible results in strengthening its positions and influence in the region and increasing a favorable image of the Soviet Union as an impartial and sympathetic partner sincerely wishing to help. Yet, by the early 1960s, Soviet policy toward the Asia-Pacific experienced serious setbacks related to Moscow's quarrel with China and the development of Sino-Indian conflict. • Hideki Kan - The US Cold War Policy and the Colombo Plan: A Search for Regional Cooperation in Asia in the 1950s Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
The paper examines the US policy toward the Colombo Plan in the Cold War context. • Yoichi Kibata - Changing International Order in Asia and the Anglo-Japanese Relations: From the Mid-1950s to the Early 1960s
Around the mid-1950s Japan started to quest for its new international role as a country that was transformed into a non-military economic power. But the room for Japanese activities in the most adjacent area, North-East Asia, was much limited: being subservient to the United States, Japan kept distance from China, and Japanese-Korean relations were very chilly in the wake of the break-up of the Japanese empire. Under these circumstances it was South-East Asia that emerged as an area in which Japan could try its hands. • Gerold Krozewski - Britain and the reordering of overseas aid, 1956-64: From colonial development finance to assistance to sovereign states This paper will explore the changing dynamics of British overseas aid relations with regard to the transition from colonial to sovereign status in Southeast Asia and Africa in the late 1950s and early 1960s, at a time when arrangements diversified bilaterally and multilaterally. It will be argued, in the simplest terms, that a marked transformation occurred in the nature in which Britain approached development finance rather than in its quantity. The established system of colonial development finance disintegrated from 1957 while the subsequent aid to sovereign states responded to a different logic. In this abridged version of the paper, the topic of loan finance will be given particular attention. • Colin Lewis • Catherine Schenk - The Cold War, Aid and International Monetary Relations in Southeast Asia in the 1960s Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide In the decade from 1965-1975 a range of events and processes intersected that together profoundly changed the international economic and political landscape in East and Southeast Asia. Individually, many have been dealt with in detail by historians, but with a few exceptions little effort has been made systematically to relate the economic with the political. This paper deals with the interaction between several of these influences to show the relationship between the collapse of the international monetary system and changing geopolitics in the region. This perspective also has important implications for the development of aid programmes during this decade and how they were delivered. Political/strategic events such as the UK decision to withdraw its military presence from East of Suez, the Cultural Revolution in the PRC and the separation of Malaysia and Singapore all had implications for the monetary relations of East Asian economies. Conversely, the reaction of states to these events was influenced by the shifting international monetary context, in particular the collapse of the Bretton Woods pegged exchange rate regime. The paper concentrates on Hong Kong, Malaysia and Singapore, which from 1945-1972 were all part of the sterling area group of countries that pegged their exchange rate to sterling, denominated their reserves in sterling and enjoyed freer access to the London capital markets than countries outside the sterling area. All three were large holders of sterling assets as foreign reserves and as backing for their local currency and this tied them tightly to British policy during the collapse of the international monetary system as sterling lost value in terms of other currencies. Concentration on these states (two newly independent and one still a colony) also elucidates the role of imperialism in the ‘post-imperial’ era of the late 1960s and early 1970s. • Brian R. Tomlinson - ‘The weapons of the weakened’: British power, sterling balances and the origins of the Colombo Plan. Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
The sterling problem of the late 1940s and early 1950s dominated British and American thinking about the Colombo Plan – the scheme for economic assistance to the countries of South and South East Asia initiated at the Commonwealth Foreign Ministers meeting in January 1950. The meanings of the provisions for future economic co-operation envisaged at Colombo were profoundly ambiguous, and can be interpreted in several different ways. The leaders of the newly-independent countries of South Asia expected considerable help with economic development. The American administration had decided by 1949 that it needed an active policy to secure acceptable economic and political regimes in Asia, but this precluded becoming too deeply involved with British-led institutions. British policy-makers had considerable hopes that providing external aid for economic development in South Asia would tie India and Pakistan more closely to London’s diplomatic goals, and persuade the United States to help solve the problems of Asian poverty and British indebtedness. But London was not able to use the Colombo proposals to entice Washington into funding the sterling balances, or providing additional dollars for the British economy. In the end, the Colombo Plan for the South Asian Dominions did little more than regularise the re-payment of the war-time debts they had built up in London, and at the cost of requiring Britain to supply unrequited exports that threatened her own economic recovery. • Ikuto Yamaguchi - The Development and Activities of ECAFE, 1947-1965
This paper explores the development of United Nations Economic Commission for Asia and the Far East (ECAFE) from its establishment to the mid-1960s. ECAFE was established in 1947 but remained a consultative body; it lacked funds for projects and had very few operational tasks. Therefore, ECAFE’s character and history should be evaluated by investigating its development and the policy of both regional and non-regional countries, in particular, Britain, the US and Soviet. In the beginning part, the birth of the Commission is outlined. Then three areas of its activities are addressed: inland transport, economic development planning and regional trade promotion. In the latter half, referring to the Asian members’ growing interest in regional cooperative measures, the impacts of regional changing economic and diplomatic situations from the mid-1950s on the Commission are analysed. • Katsuhiko Yokoi - Role of the Technical Cooperation under the Colombo Plan in the Establishment of the Indian Institute of Technology(IIT) in Delhi
The Colombo Plan provided practical assistance in two forms - capital aid and technical cooperation. For technical cooperation, assistance was given to South and South East Asian countries in three forms — training places, experts and equipment. In addition, the UK tried to extend the field of technical assistance to India by offering to establish and staff engineering universities, that is, the Delhi Engineering College (later IIT in Delhi ) which was regarded by the UK as the major Indian project under the Colombo Plan. • Osamu Yoshida - The Beginning of Development Assistance: The World Bank’s India Consortium and Its Making Economic assistance from abroad is regarded essential today for the developing countries to develop their economies. But it was not the way of thinking in early post-war years. Rather, as far as India is concerned, India seemed to rely on its own resources to develop its economy. Furthermore, developed countries too, as preoccupied with their post-war reconstructions, thought in the same way regarding the issue of post-colonial countries. Then how did the way of thinking regarding foreign assistance to the developing countries change? Was there any gap in the process of changing perception? This research is to look into these questions through an examination of the process in which the developed states started the international efforts to aid India when the latter faced the foreign exchange crisis during its Second Five-Year Plan. It reveals the facts that they were not prepared for the nature of economic assistance needed by the developing states whose development programs proved to be commercially unsustainable, that the lending countries had shared reasons to prevent India from going bankrupt, and that the economic Cold War played the minor role compared with the problems of lenders’ own balance of payments, though the decision of the lenders to continue their commitment to the assistance for another Five-Year Plan was more affected by the Cold War as the new administration led by John F. Kennedy was installed in the United States. H8 -
Political Economy and Institutions in Early Modern States, 1500-1800 Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
One important insight emerging from a growing body of literature is that institutions or written and unwritten rules of a society and policies such as property rights and their enforcement, norms of behavior, political and macroeconomic stability, have a significant impact on long term economic change. More complex economic structures will not emerge unless institutions can reduce the uncertainties associated with such structures according to this new perspective. Organizers: • - Evolution of Economic Institutions in the Ottoman Empire during the Early Modern Era, 1500-1800 This paper examines the evolution of Ottoman economic institutions during the early modern era. It shows that the Ottoman state and society showed considerable ability to reorganize as a way of adapting to changing circumstances in Eurasia from the seventeenth through the nineteenth centuries. This does not mean that Ottoman institutions came to resemble those that gave rise to capitalism. The paper argues instead that Ottoman society and Ottoman bureaucracy brought about institutional change in selective areas, in military technology and organization, in public rather than private finance, for example, and such selective institutional change enabled the Ottomans to maintain their rule and the empire to survive a much longer period. • Om Prakash - Fiscal and Monetary Institutions in Mughal India In addition to an analysis of the fiscal policies and institutions in Mughal India, this paper will deal with the monetary policies and institutions at work during the Mughal period. This is not only because there were strong interrelationships between the fiscal and the monetary domains, but also because between the two, these domains significantly affected nearly all areas of economic endeavour, including internal as well as international trade. Participants: • Jan DeVries - Political Economy and Institutions in the Dutch Republic Institutions are studied both as a "top-down" and a "bottom up" phenomenon. Seen from the bottom up, the economic institutions of the Dutch Republic appear well adapted to the needs of a market society. Viewed from the top down, the state's role in institutional development appears oddly stunted. The Republic has long been criticized as insufficiently nationalistic and resistant to centralizing reform. This paper assesses the validity of both the (excessive) praise and (overly) critical dismissivness to which Dutch institutions have been subjected by historians. • Philip T. Hoffman - Political Economy and Institutions in Early Modern France Because our session seeks to compare how economic institutions are determined and why they vary across countries, this paper sketches the political economy of institutions in early modern France, including those that affected money, land holding, factor markets, trade and manufacturing, and taxation and public finance. The perspective is synthetic and wherever possible comparative. It also explores possible links to economic growth. • Masaki Nakabayashi - Institutions and economic development of early modern Japan he Tokugawa shogunate, which ruled early modern Japan from 1603 to 1868, provided considerably effective judicial system with the commodity market and the short term local government bond market. Under the governance, the impersonal trades expanded rapidly in the commodity market and the specific financial market, and the national economy was integrated. On the other hand, the shogunate did not provided the farm land market with third party enforcement, and tried to regulate the labor mobilization. This led to an early modern economy where the commodity market and the public financial markets were well integrated while the land and the labor market were segregated and were governed by local communities in the personal manner with long-term relationship. • Patrick O'Brien - The Formation of Fiscal and Financial Systems for State Formation in the East and the West,1644-1846 Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide Using the British case as a comparator for an ideal type Weberian state my short presentation will offer a stage theory of fiscal state formation in the West and the East. I will pursue the meta question of why confederated republics (such as Venice and the Netherlands) and centralized monarchies (e.g.Britain) constructed effective fiscal and financial institutions long before composite monarchies (like France and Spain) and the underfunded weak agglommerated empires of Habsburg Austria, Romanov Russia, Mughal India, Qing China and Ottoman Turkey. I will conclude by provoking discussion of the assertion that new institutional economic history without a theory or general narrative of state formation is about as tenable as medecine without cardiology. • Luciano Pezzolo - The political economy of the Republic of Venice, 15th-18th centuries One might see Venice as a city where rulers exercised the political power, administered justice and were largely engaged in economic activity. This should have brought about severe social and political strains in the city. A caste of rulers exercising political and judicial powers would have heavily been able to affect the economic sphere, not being subject to legal constraints. This however did not occur, at least until the sixteenth century. It is instead probable that the very identity between political rulers and economic protagonists laid at the base of the Venetian economic growth. This autocratic model, nevertheless, does not suffice to account for the Venetian success: one has to set it against a context where the ruling group was able to largely distribute profits generated from international trade. • Kenneth Pomeranz - Property rights, fiscal institutions, and rural social organization in the Qing (1644-1912): implications for economic development
Looked at in comparative perspective, among the most striking features of Qing political economy are the combination of highly commercialized agriculture with the strength of peasant land use rights -- both through smallholding and through various forms of secure tenancy – and the very small share of the population dependent on wage-earning. This paper begins by analyzing some reasons for this pattern, focusing on the intersection of customary land rights, agricultural practices and community organization in China’s wealthiest regions. It argues that in the Yangzi Delta in particular, different types of property rights – both of them tradeable and heritable – were guaranteed in different ways. Subsoil rights were tied to payment of land taxes and protected by the state. Surface rights, though sometimes also protected by the state, and frequently transferred by formal contract, also rested in part on recognition by communities; this recognition, in turn, often rested on the cultivator’s participation in community projects (including the maintenance of local works for water control). • Bartolomé Yun-Casalilla - The Institutions and Political Economy of the Spanish imperial composite monarchy (1492-1714). This paper proposes a trans-national perspective for the study the political economy of the Early Modern Spanish Empire. It suggest to interlinking two different institutional logics: the local proto-national rationale of the different polities within the composite monarchy and the international dynastic rationale. The emphasis is put on the impossibility of the Hapsburg Spanish Empire to build a coherent mercantilist proto-national policy on the grounds of a system of global networks and clashing mercantile “national” interests. The outcome of this was huge protection costs of which the kingdom’s economies received small benefits and a conflictive negotiation between the Crown and the social actors of each area, which consecrated inefficient property rights. This, rather than absolutism on which recent literature has put the accent, were the main reasons for economic decadence in the 17th century. I8 -
Investment Banking History (19th-21st Centuries) Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
We intend to apply the methods of business history to banking history, to question the history of investment banking through the spectrum of issues raised about stakeholders, strategies, internationalisation, innovation, corporate culture, portfolio of management skills, knowledge capital, differenciation, performance, and competitiveness, which will require to question the data and facts accurately. We shall provide biographical approaches, that is to assess how much investment bankers did orient the fate the investment banks, as innovators, go-betweens, managers, financiers, market markers, etc. We intend to focus on the portfolio of skills of investment banks along with some kind of “an inside outlook”, that is grosso modo; How did it function? How did they do it? What was their capital of knowledge and competence? What did characterize actually investment banks in front of deposit banks? This will lead to determine what achieved an investment banker in his day to day activities, and how he was working (teams, access to information, networks of relationship, links with the State, international minds) and how he used his networks of communication. But our collective and comparative investigation should consider one key issue: What type of organisation did characterize and today characterize investment banking firms? How managers of such companies succeeded in balancing creativity, reactivity, resiliency, openness to information, trust building, closeness to innovative entrepreneurs, action through moving connections on one side, and the drastic (and classical) management of firm organisation, the building of an array of processes to assess risks, and the development of auditing balance sheets, especially in proprietary trading and proprietary investment portfolios. Such considerations will have to be gauged through an evolutive analysis, about each “Belle Époque” of booming investment banking. How investment banking did constitute to the conception and to the development of new financial and banking products? How can we link banking history and the history of innovation? We shall dedicate studies on the part played by investment banks and a few investment bankers or teams in the emergence and structuration of some activities, like: leasing, specialised credits, industrial banking, collaterisation, mutual funds, financing of real estate development, financing of developing or emerging countries, structured project financing, public-private project financing, the creation and functions of investment funds, etc. We shall focus on the entertainment of networks of capital, to reconstitute how investment bankers succeeded in mobilising “sleeping” capital, assuming a function of intermediation between wealthy industrialists or estate owners, institutional investors, family entrepreneurs with available cash, then the assets of mutual funds, on one side, and the course of financial markets. Organizers: • - “French investment banks’s renewal after WWII (1945-1960)”
Our paper is focused on the function of French investment banks as “pathbreakers” to accompany and stimulate the rebirth of French economy after WWII. • Carlo Brambilla - Fading investment banking? The evolution of financial intermediaries in Italy after WW2 Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide The rise of investment banking, from the late nineteenth century onward, has been put into relation with the issue of financing industrialization, especially as capital and technological intensive new industrial undertakings and public utilities are concerned. In fact, the financing of modern industries emphasised a dilemma, namely how to make capital investments stable and ‘permanent’ as a whole, while coping with the unwillingness by the single investor to commit to ‘illiquid’ investment purchases. A solution to that could be found in the organization of proper markets in which these investments might be easily traded. Investment banks fulfilled the function of solving that dilemma, because by acting as intermediaries between borrowers and lenders, and as such performing delegated monitoring over borrowers, they were able to enhance investors’ confidence, and thus to rise new capital and to allocate it to new industries and investments; moreover, by creating and issuing tradable securities representing those investments, and organizing secondary markets wherein to trade them, they increased the willingness by individual investors to purchase capital assets. In Italy, these functions were performed by universal banks until the crisis of the early 1930s swept them away, imposing a restructuring of the entire financial and credit system. Thus, a new legal and institutional framework emerged after the second world war, aimed at guaranteeing higher degrees of stability trough the imposition of banks’ specialization and a stricter control over the credit and financial system. The paper retraces the peculiar features of the Italian postwar financial system trying to figure out how the ‘liquidity dilemma’ had been addressed during the decades of the fastet and highest economic growth Italy has experienced ever. • Giandomenico Piluso - Mediobanca and its international network: from path-breaker to follower (1946-1990) Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide The paper considers the evolution of investment and merchant banking in Italy after the Second World War. In particular, it deals with the special role played by Mediobanca, a well internationally connected institution and the only real merchant bank in Italy for a long time. From the late 1940s Mediobanca actively supported the few largest firms, issuing bonds or equity capital, providing advisory assistance for M&As, consulting for long-term strategic alliances, assuring ownership or management turn-over vis-à-vis difficulties or crisis. From the mid-1950s Mediobanca was able to connect major Italian firms with international financial centres, mainly thanks to its legendary ceo Enrico Cuccia. From 1956 Lazard Frères & Co. and Lehman Brothers of New York, as well as the Belgian Sofina and the German Berliner Handels-Gesellshaft, became influential shareholders of Mediobanca. Outstanding technical expertise and unique international connections were relevant competitive advantages. In the 1960s Mediobanca financed a number of firms operating in the most dynamic and innovative sectors of those years, while designing some international long-term alliances (like Montecatini and Shell, Fiat and Citroën, Pirelli and Dunlop). Within an overregulated banking system, Mediobanca seems to act as a path-breaker for the largest manufacturing groups. From the late 1960s large industrial firms needed more external financial support whilst the Italian banking system proved to be unable to provide an adequate allocative efficiency. After the oil crises of the 1970s the Italian economy became more fragile in reacting to changes in factors’ prices and technological upheavals. In the ensuing decades, indeed, following a rather conservative attitude, Mediobanca organised a number of rescues and reorganisations of manufacturing firms providing a nonetheless valuable financial assistance. This paper will cope with this issue by analysing balance-sheets’ data and industrial sectors aggregated by capital and technology intensity from the late 1940s to the early 1990s. Quantitative data suggest that Mediobanca ceased to be a genuine 'path-breaker' by sustaining the most innovative and dynamic sectors and turned into a 'follower' of the evolutionary trajectories of major manufacturing groups and sectors. Participants: • Youssef Cassis • Luis Javier Coronas - SPANISH INVESTMENT BANKING: FROM FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES TO SUPPORTING FIRM’S EQUITY. At the beginning of the 20th Century, were founded important banks in Madrid and Bilbao what worked as universal banks. Banking concentration grew up since 1946, as new foundations were very restricted until 1962. This year a new Banking Act intended to separate investment and commercial banks, but the most important ones set up industrial banks as branch companies. • Ton de Graaf - INVESTMENT BANKING IN THE 19TH AND 20TH CENTURIES: THE DUTCH WAY • Marc Flandreau - The End of Gatekeeping: Underwriters and the Quality of Sovereign Bond Markets, 1875-2007 We provide a comparison of salient organizational features of primary markets for foreign government debt over the very long run. We focus on output, quality control, information provision, competition, pricing, charging, and signaling. We find that the market setup experienced a radical transformation in the recent period, and we interpret this as resulting from the rise of liability insurance provided by rating agencies. Underwriters have given up their former role as gatekeepers of liquidity and certification agencies to become aggressive competitors in a new Speculative Grade market. • Juan Huitzilihuitl Flores Zendejas - Information Asymmetries, Borrowing Costs and the Baring Crisis, 1880-1890
This paper analyzes the information structure of European financial markets on • Piet Klanny Geljon • Mohamed Lazhar Gharbi - Bank investments and Crisis in the Algerian East during the second half of the 19th century
Conquered since 1830, Algeria had to wait two decades to be in peace and know the beginning of "development” of its wealth. Set apart the Algerian situation, the development rhythm depended on the willing of the metropolitan fund owners and their strategies. The discovery of the mine wealth of the Algerian East which could be a springboard to annex Tunisia, incited the big capital to make a commitment in this part of the Colony within a general optimism context created by the second Empire and the determination of the Emperor. • Peter Hertner • Christopher Kobrak - From International to Transnational Finance
Most discussions of globalization and multinationals do not address specifically how changes in financial markets and banking have helped differentiate our era’s globalization from previous ones. Given the turmoil in capital markets, this lacuna in the literature is particularly odd. Insofar as the effect of the growth of multinational financial conglomerates on the financial system is discussed in technical and more general financial literature, it is generally focused on the internalization of international sources of funding and its impact on bank and market liquidity. • Sofya Salomatina - Investment banking in Russia, 1890-1917: ups and downs
This paper analyzes investment banking in pre-revolutionary Russia in terms of its origin, general quantitative appraisals, risk management, relations with the state. In addition to these objectives the research includes a regression analysis, which reveals ties investment banking in the 1890s with the international banks’ syndicates for Russian government securities issues and stock market banking specialization in the 1880s. It also proves investment banking integration into universal banking by 1914. • Richard Sylla - Issues of investment banking history: what we know, what is being questioned. Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide This keynote for the session will introduce some key issues and questions that arise in the history of investment banking, to set the stage for the papers that follow. • Gergana Taneva - French investment banking and Bulgaria in the 1880s-1930s: Portfolio of skills and strategies Capital movements, more intensive up to the First World War, lead to establishing relations between nations. Those relations are generally based on investments in the first place, within the context of industrial and trading projects, and on finance in the second place: limited liability credit companies were founded, securities were invested, such as government bonds, annuities, mortgage, etc., thus creating interdependence between nations, through contracts and legislation. In that sense, the French banking groups take up a significant place in Bulgarian history, because of their structure and influence on the social organization. They integrate into the market and favour its development through different know-hows. Studying investment banks thus implies to consider the financial groups’ role and impact, first in the formation of the Bulgarian nation, and then in its institutional reorganizations. Why did Bulgaria attract French bankers? What techniques and strategies did they use to develop their policies? What was the French intervention in Bulgaria? The groups got involved through French policy, answering Bulgarian economic and financials needs. What were their pretexts and mobiles? J8 -
Shift from the North Sea/Baltic to the Atlantic in the economy and political power, 1500-1800 Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
Many of the recent historical studies on the early modern period concern the rise of the Atlantic economies between 1500 and 1800. The perspective is often linked to expansion of Europe. The significance of the North Sea/Baltic often is underrated. Organizers: • - Hamburg as Gateway: The Economic Connections between the Atlantic and the Baltic in the ‘Long Eighteenth-Century’ with Special Reference to French colonial goods
Although Hamburg was one of the most important cities in trade and in finance in early modern Europe, nevertheless, the role of Hamburg has been underrated, or sometimes neglected. In this paper I will try to estimate the importance of Hamburg from its role as gateway uniting the Continent and the Northern Seas. • Leos Muller - Swedish shipping business and the shift from the Baltic to the Atlantic economy, 1650-1800 Swedish shipping business did play an important role in development of Swedish trade in the 17th and 18th centuries. From a quite insignificant actor during the first half the 17th century, even in the Baltic Sea, the Swedish merchant fleet grew to one the biggest European marines by the late 18th century. External and internal factors are studied here to explain this growth. The internal factor was the mercantilist policy, primarily the major measure of the 18th-century Swedish mercantilism—the Swedish Navigation Act. The external factors were: first, demand for Swedish staple goods, iron, tar and pitch and sawn goods, as well as the tonnage-requiring salt imports, second, the international situation of Sweden and its neutrality. Here the focus is on the role of Swedish carrying trade during the Anglo-French wars (1689-1815) that made it possible for the Swedes to exploit the gap in demand of carrying capacity. In this way the development of the Swedish shipping business is related to the rise of the Atlantic economy. Participants: • Catia Antunes - Unexpected links, unforeseen results: Cross-cultural entrepreneurship in the Atlantic and the Baltic, 1580-1674
The importance of the Atlantic Ocean in the development of Early Modern economies has been stressed in a growing number of studies since the 1960s. Some aspects of the contacts between different cultures and continents however, have enjoyed little attention. One of these is the individuals behind the Atlantic economic system: merchants, businessmen and entrepreneurs. • Erik Lindberg - Stagnating Baltic cities and the rise of the Atlantic economy in the early modern period: the role of corporate privileges The growing importance of an ‘Atlantic economy’ and the declining importance of the Baltic area in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries have been stressed in a number of studies in the last decades. Recently, Acemoglu et al, argues that the rise of the Western World after c. 1500 was closely linked to the growth of Atlantic trade. Their model suggests that this regional growth pattern induced political and institutional changes within Western Europe that favoured countries with access to the Atlantic Ocean, and where late medieval institutions already placed some check on the ruling monarch. For some countries, in particular the Netherlands and England, the Atlantic expansion was boosted by induced institutional changes in a way that secure property rights were provided to a broader segment of society and allowing free entry into profitable business. For other countries, institutional inertia caused by entrenched rent seeking groups limited the possibilities to trade. As emphasised by Acemoglu et al, the status of a nation as an Atlantic trader is therefore endogenous, i.e., the ex post outcome of political and economic processes. In this paper, I follow the growth trajectories for three major commercial cities engaged in the North Sea/Baltic trade - Hamburg, Lübeck and Danzig - in the early modern period and try to explain why only Hamburg became an important Atlantic trader, while the other two followed a path of stagnation and decline. • David Ormrod - Britain's role in the shift from the North Sea-Baltic world to the Atlantic, 1650-1800 The paper provides a brief historiographical review of three possible positions on the impact of the Atlantic world on Europe and the world-economy. The claims involved are placed alongside the evidence of trade flows and utilised shipping tonnage for Britain and the Netherlands. The argument moves on to consider institutional change and commercial reorganisation, followed by the impact of the energy crisis and environmental problems. • Pierrick Pourchasse - Between private profit and national interest : the difficulties of coherent French economic politics in early modern history
In the 17th century France used its advantages to emerge as the main European power. The reign of Louis XIV marked the success of the French political power. The country’s borders were pushed outwards in the North as well as in the East and the South. At an economical level the authorities took measures in all fields in order to make richer the country. Colbert’s name was thus synonymous with State intervention. Concerning the maritime activities the target was to use all the geographic and natural advantages of the country to create the biggest maritime fleet in Europe. This paper will try to go deeper into the economical politicies of the State, politicies which are often guided by external constraints especially financial ones. • Philipp Roessner - A Shift from the Baltic to the Atlantic in Early Modern Trade: The Case of Scotland
Recent research has argued that the early modern shift in economic weight from the Baltic/North Sea area to the Atlantic in terms of volume, value and thus shares in world trade, or a relative decline of the Baltic at the expense of the Atlantic, ought not to be equated with a general loss of the Baltic in terms of importance for the nascent “world economy“. In terms of economic actors, products and commodity flows, the emergent Atlantic economy and the more traditional North Sea/Baltic economic region remained interrelated and interlinked during the hey-days of the Atlantic economy (c. 1660–1780). Also, the rise of the Atlantic economy, most prominently the trade in colonial foodstuffs and non-essentials such as tobacco, sugar, cocoa, coffee, ginger etc., had a strong political component from its very beginnings, but particularly after the mid-seventeenth century. Production and trade in these new goods were actively encouraged by the Mercantilist state, frequently in combination with building a commercial and political empire, seeking new and profitable, and easy-to-tap resources of taxation • Göran Rydén - Confluent Commodity Chains – To Shackle the Baltic to Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
To say that the Swedish iron industry has been the backbone of much research in Swedish economic history is almost an understatement: From the onset of the discipline, in the interwar years, studies of many different aspects of the industry have been omnipresent, but it is fair to say that most of this research have remained attach to the national paradigm. Few studies have attempted to link Swedish iron making to global perspectives and developments. Bearing in mind that Sweden, together with Russia, was the only European country during the early-modern period with an iron industry solely directed towards foreign markets this narrow perspective must be viewed as problematic. The fact that Swedish iron were to be found on most European markets, as well as being an important commodity in the colonial trade, ought to make the global perspective an obvious one. K8 -
Industrial Revolutions and their Globalizing Outcomes in the Eastern Countries (1750-2000) Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
The above mentioned theme seems to me important if we regard it from the perspective of a troubled economic history in this part of Europe. One of the most important backing segments for the process of globalization along the years was that of the European industrial revolutions. We have in view mostly the mechanization, electricity, oil but tertiary and quaternary, informatics and computers too. By their content and development the industrial revolutions have allowed the spreading of some important economic and social parameters with substantial outcomes in the growth of production and productivity, trade development, modernization, urbanism…- from England, France, Germany, Holland to the U.S.A, Japan, all over Europe, on other continents, in the world. Without such processes we could not speak now about globalization. Organizer: • - Industrial Revolutions: globalizing outcomes-coordinates of the relation interests-constraint-seduction
The paper begins with an overlook on some globalizing outcomes of the industrial revolution. The favourite area of analysis: the European East with case study: Romania. Here- as it happens in general- industrial revolutions have settled in a joint situation for numerous countries, economic interests, objectives and means, economic instruments. Industrial revolutions could confer assessments with a larger area of generality both for resources and for some finite products mainly industrial ones and agricultural too. Home and foreign trade developed, complementarities in development….Progress- carried out in enlarging the productivity, polishing the activities in this part of the world was mainly induced by the industrial revolutions started in the West. They have triggered out the economic trajectory of the East. Eastern political and economic revolutions after 1989 had similar grounds directly or indirectly. From the view of some economic gains they have coerced less flexible societies to follow the course for the general progress of the world. The contribution of some Eastern European states to the ” planetary development” might be a natural end of the respective evolution. Figures, dynamics, economic facts, conceptions within the economic, social thinking, and cultural are therefore being highlighted. Participants: • Mircea Baron - THE EMERGENCE OF THE JIU VALLEY COAL BASIN (ROMANIA) - A CONSEQUENCE OF THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
The Jiu Valley, or Petroşani coal basin, is an important economic region of Romania, situated at the springs of the Jiu River, between the Eastern Carpathians. • Kumar Das • Francesco d'Esposito - THE OPENING OF THE BLACK SEA AND THE MEDITERRANEAN TRADE: THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE NEAPOLITAN MERCHANT NAVY IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE 19th CENTURY. Following upon the Russian-Turkish wars and the peace treaty of Jasi, in 1791, the Black Sea was opened to the merchant navies of the Mediterranean Sea. By this time onwards the towns of the Mediterranean Sea can rely at last in a regular way for their supply upon the arrival of the corn of the Black Sea, which production raises thanks to the colonization of the lands of Ukraine and Southern Russia. The foreign merchants and sailors installed in Odessa, beginning from its foundation at the end of the 18th century, soon become the principal go-betweens of this trade. Many of them come from the sea-ports of Southern Italy. The navigation in the Black Sea constitutes an extent of consolidated relations existing between this area and the sea-ports of the Ionian and the Eastern Mediterranean Seas. The kingdom of Naples had, first in Italy, interest for the Black Sea routes and its navy had a great development in the first half of the 19th century just because of trade with the Black Sea. • Lupu Gratian - The Development of the Romanian Industry Related to the Romanian-German Relations 1930-1933
Germany was during the interwar period one of Romania's important trade partners. The economic relations in South-East Europe during the economic depression (1929-1933) were complex. Germany tried to break the Little Antante and it's struggle to create a South-East European Economic block, because this could rouin the German plans of economic expansion in the mentioned area. • Pierre Jaloustre - Rothschilds’ oil : a global business before 1914.
The oil business was already a big business in 1914. Connections, flows and networks covered the world. Some well-known Majors were already there: Royal Dutch Shell, the Standard Oil Company of New Jersey (now Exxon) and the Anglo-Persian Oil Company (now British Petroleum) for instance. But Nobel, the biggest Russian company before 1914, has disappeared. • Martin Kragh - Empirical Studies of the Soviet Labour Market, 1940-1980. Preliminary evidence based on archival research Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide This paper uses previously classified archival data to track the development of the Soviet labour market in the period 1940-80. It analyzes the effects of institutional shifts on economic behaviour and draws some conclusions in light of the stagnation in the last decades of Soviet rule. • Silvia Marginean - Globalization, Technology and Competitiveness: From Industrial Revolution to Knowledge Economy Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide The world is experiencing a new revolution – the knowledge revolution – fuelled by the technological change. In the same time, globalization and competitiveness are two concepts used to explain modern trends in economic development. The relationship between globalization, technology and competitiveness is analyzed in this paper based on the major transformation of economy and society in the past centuries, since the Industrial Revolution. Globalization and technology are linked and they have generated great shifts in the national competitiveness of countries. In a broad sense, industrial revolution can be seen as a change of technologies used to produce goods, services and information. Looking back at the last two centuries we see industrial revolution as a transformation in four stages: first stage – textiles; second stage – steel and railway; third stage – chemicals and electricity; fourth stage – information and communication technologies. In all these stages countries have experienced specific forms of globalization and the engines of growth and competitiveness have changed. In our study we address at least three questions: where we are – in the knowledge age, what we want – competitiveness, and what can be learned from the other stages of industrial revolution. • Sarojini Mishra • N.K. Palai • Dan-Alexandru Popescu - From the Crises of the Globalized World to the Global Climate Crisis: A European Plea for the Earth We find ourselves in a year of crisis: an economic, banking and financial crisis, an over-production crisis, a real estate crisis, a crisis of the global system. For a good period of time, we will not see economic growth, but an even higher rate of unemployment, price raising and a higher level of social revolts. It is also the time for deeper meditations. Let us not forget that the Earth is constantly experiencing a crisis situation. The shaping, and later the modernizing of the human environment has lead to structural changes as far as the natural habitat is concerned. The trials of the human being to build a more comfortable home, to ensure a more comfortable existence, these simple things at a first sight, have triggered a large number of major ecological unbalances and have determined the abusive usage of energy and resources, and the debates could go like this forever. The protection and the improvement of the environment, meant to support a durable development, no longer represent a desideratum, but a must of the modern world. Institutional policies, governmental strategies and international agreements are initiated in the area of globalised economy and society. However, as many local projects, citizen initiatives and individual standpoints are required in the subtle micro-sphere of collective behaviour and civic consciousness, human obligations and mutual interests. The main concerns of environment-related approaches focus on the necessity to fight against the destruction of the surroundings, fully aware of the irreversibility of the cycle of development towards obvious and continuous economic progress. • Doris-Louise Popescu - The Romanian Case: Industrial Revolution or just Industrialization? The Significance/Meanings of the Industrialization Process in Modern Romania.
The industrialization of Romania represents one of the most significant chapters of the economic history, as well as of the history of the national economic thought. The process of industrialization comes to invalidate the theory of a "signally agrarian Romania", marking the beginnings of a diversification concerning the structure of the Romanian economy. Moreover, the industrialization also constitutes a premise of the modernization of our economy/society, sustaining at the same time political interests concerning the national assertion. • Ilie Rotariu - The Eastern and Central Europe late Industrial Revolutions imposed through the Globalisation Process after the WWII: case study Romania Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide The Industrial Revolution was the period of the late 18th and early 19th centuries that has changed almost every aspect of daily life in Britain and, some decades later on US and the Continent (Western Europe). The period of time covered by the Industrial Revolution varies with different historians. Everyone agree that it has marked the emergence of the modern free market economy and was the process of deep economic and social changes in industrialized economies, that leaded to quite new economies and societies. We point out two main effects: earnings focused on (foreign) exchanges and the massif accumulation that hoard the next “revolutions”. We argue that the Central and Eastern Europe have achieved it only after the WWII when their economies and societies shape towards nowadays developed economies. The need to enlarge the new “raw material” (the consumers’ buy power) has generated the globalization process. As Europe Steal and Coal Community has as an antecedent the between WW European Steal and Coal Cartels, with their US and Continental forerunner of 890’s, the after WWII political structure, might have put the Eastern Block under communists command to accomplish the Industrial Revolution along this space, process fulfilled by ‘70s. A qui prodest analyze will refine the subject. Romania is an eloquent example. • Razvan Serbu - A galactic challenge at the end of XX century
This paper examines the role of Internet, information and communication technology in the globalization and developing the industrial revolution at the end of 20 century. Informatics, computers and the Internet are some of the most recent and important segments for the process of globalization. These new factors discovered recently develop the industrial revolutions and allowed the spreading of some important parameters in the growth of world economy. • Ileana Tache - Industrialization versus Rural Traditionalism in Inter-war Romania: a Reappraisal from the Globalization Perspective
The interwar period was a time when Romanians had to re-organize institutions founded long time ago, to re-examine respected traditions and confront the problems of a rising bourgeois society, on the way toward modernization, industrialization and urbanization. This paper investigates the tension between the modern conceptions, treating Romania as an integral part of Europe and insisting for the road beaten by the industrialized and urbanized West and the traditionalist conceptions, based on the belief in the prevalent rural character of Romania’s historical development. L8 -
Technology Transfer in the 20th Century. Institutions and Actors Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
The aim of this session is to explore technology transfer in the 20th century by examining the changing institutional context and its influence on the movement of technologies throughout the world since the late 19th century. By selecting themes that focus on different sectors of the economy, regions and forms of technology transfer, the presenters can contribute to a better understanding of the movement of technology while also constructing a general theoretical interpretation of the phenomenon. Organizers: • - The Evolution and Diffusion of Patent Management in Japan: An institutional framework for international technology transfer
The purpose of this paper is to clarify evolution of corporate patent management in Japan, which is one of the institutional frameworks for international technology transfer. • Pierre-Yves Donzé - Global Competition and Technology Transfer in the Watchmaking Industry: 1930–1960
This paper focuses on technology transfer in the watchmaking industry from Switzerland to the United States and Japan from the 1930’s to the 1960’s. It especially sheds light on the way technologies were transferred to both countries and explains why it took different forms (within multinational enterprise in the case of the US and through copying in the case of Japan). Participants: • Kristine Bruland • Vincent Dray - Characterizing the internationalization of technological information and the transfer of knowledge. How it was institutionalized and received by the past two leader countries (United Kingdom and France) : 1920-1980. Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
According to its title, the aim of this paper consists in characterizing the internationalization of technological information in the course of the twentieth century (modernization of the diffusion of technology : publication, type writer, computer…). The investigation is limited to three countries who have a long history of technological cooperation : the United States, France and the United Kingdom. First, the article tends to show how this internationalization has affected the ways by which actors who are engaged in innovating projects (scholars and scientific institutions) speculate about the new directions of technology transfer and recognize the importance of information and knowledge as key factors for industrialization. According the acceleration of the second industrialization, the purpose of the paper is to explore the nature of the relationship and to circumscribe some conceptual approaches to the changes in technological information and the character of the technology transfer. In the rapidly change of the western industrial world, technological information became one of the most essential tool for the transfer of knowledge. Within this general concept, a second part provides a general framework for understanding how information dynamics may shape the evolution of institutional environment (Schools of engineering, Universities) in France and the United Kingdom, considering the interaction between institutions, knowledge and learning within the conversion of the technological systems. It reveals the difficulties in adopting the necessary institutional and socio-technical environment to lead information and technological knowledge toward Hight-tech industries. • David Gilgen • Cedric Humair - Second industrial revolution, technology transfer and the role of the public institutions : the Swiss case (1875-1939)
Switzerland was one of the most industrialised countries from the beginning of the 19th century, heavily using technology transfer in order to develop products of consumption, such as textiles, watches and food, as well as machines and vehicles, which were exported throughout the world. However, at the dawn of the 20th century, the second industrial revolution offered a new challenge to the Swiss economy which was how to quickly realise the transfer of newly developed technologies from Germany and the USA with the aim of developing new productions and obtaining more efficient capital goods. • Takafumi Kurosawa • Pierre Lamard • Zejian Li - Analysis of Dynamic Relationship between the Emergence of Independent Chinese Automobile Manufacturers and International Technology Transfer in China’s Auto Industry
The so called Independent Chinese Automobile Manufacturers (ICAMs), such as CHERY, Geely and BYD, emerged at the end of 1990's as new entrants to Chinese passenger vehicle market and have achieved remarkable growth. The phenomenon of these autonomous Chinese Automakers is drawing increasing attention not only from academia but also from business and government circles. • Margrit Muller • Yuki Nakajima - The spread of wartime technology through PB reports after WW2:the acquisition process of chemical technology in postwar Japan. This study describes the diffusion process of “PB reports” in Japan and evaluates the role of them on Japanese postwar technological development especially in chemical industry. PB reports contributed to introduce German chemical technology and enabled some Japanese companies to solve the technology gap that had been expanded during WW2 till the first stage of Japanese high-growth era. • Laurent Tissot • Julia Yongue - Technology Transfer in the Japanese Pharmaceutical Industry: The Case of Penicillin Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
This paper will focus on two types of transfer of penicillin technologies over two phases: mass production technologies in the first phase and licensing agreements for innovative derivatives in the second. The purpose of the paper is to examine the roles and relationships of the three actors: government officials, business representatives and scientists while also considering the implications of penicillin technologies on the long-term growth and development of the Japanese pharmaceutical industry. M8 -
The location of value in early modern economic practices (late middle ages – nineteenth century) Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
Reaching agreement on the value of skills and products is central to any economic practice. Every single transaction, involving a producer and/or retailer on the one hand and a consumer on the other, requires a prior accord on what an invested set of skills or a product is worth. According to (neo-)classical economic theory, the value of skills and products is objectified by the price-mechanism, the price (value) answering changes on the supply and demand side. Value is analysed primarily in quantitative terms – reflecting the scarcity of labour, capital and natural resources – while subjective (socio-cultural) variables (such as craftsmanship, design and taste preferences) are taken for granted. This session would like to focus on the more elusive ‘repertoires of evaluation’, embedding both the strategies of producer-retailers and the choices of consumers. The idea is to examine the provenance and the transformations of the ‘conventions’ involved in economic practices. Organizers: • - Corpses, live models, and nature. Assessing skills and knowledge before the industrial revolution (case: Antwerp)
This paper addresses changing assessment procedures for (guild-based) artisans in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. Discussions in and on two new educational institutions (the art academy and the medical college) in the seventeenth century (and beyond) reveals that manual skills and embodied knowledge were gradually devalued. The egalitarian guild-ethos was substituted with a more individualistic approach based on “ingenium”, which was related to both designing (drawing and invention) and theory. Paradoxically, while observation, experience and experiment grew important among an intellectual elite, the hands-on skills of artisans became perceived as being devoid of talent and genius. • Beverly Lemire • Philippe Minard - Facing uncertainty : markets, norms and conventions in the Eighteenth Century
Facing uncertainty : markets, norms and conventions in the Eighteenth Century. • Ilja Van Damme Participants: • Beverly Lemire • Philippe Minard - Facing uncertainty : markets, norms and conventions in the Eighteenth Century
Facing uncertainty : markets, norms and conventions in the Eighteenth Century. • Maxine Berg - Value and the Quality Road to Industrialization The paper falls into two sections. It first sets out the analysis of products, demand, commerce and labour in early classical economic theory, notable that of David Hume and Adam Smith’s. This section of the paper demonstrates that there was a great deal more socio-cultural discussion among these early classical economists than we now think. The second section of the paper develops a comparative case for a product-driven route to industrialization and de-industrialization. This part of the paper will argue for a quality road to industrialization in Britain as conveyed through the luxury trade in Indian textiles. This trade also, however, created an ‘alternative economics’ in India leading there into industrial decline. • Helen Clifford - The Problem of Patina: Thoughts on Changing Attitudes to Old and New Things
The intention of this paper is to encourage a broader consideration of the culturally specific values and contexts we place upon ‘old’ things. How deeply do we think about the different values of an object within the culture that made it, that used, kept and collected it? Is it possible to identify changes in attitude to objects as they aged? As an historian of material culture I am fascinated by the relationship between objects and words, how things are described, and how their value (in the broadest possible sense, economically, culturally and socially) changes over time. We will enter this rich terrain with a particular focus, wrought silver, made in England in the eighteenth-century, a period of fundamental change in manufacture and consumption, that heralded the birth of ‘modern Britain.’ • Laurence Fontaine - Buying as a Social Agency : Bargaining, Fixing Prices, and Auctioning Goods in Early Modern Europe I would like to consider the mechanisms for the fixing of prices in Early Modern Europe to show that these operations, which were social transactions, reflect not only the forms of political economy in preindustrial Europe, but also those of society. I will therefore firstly address the reasons why bargaining was the main characteristic of markets in the early modern age, and I will show how credit and the action of the State modified its nature and practice. Secondly, I will consider the way in which the noble statute translated into a trade relationship, and thirdly I will explore how aristocrats succeeded in entering the market covertly as a consequence of the passion for collecting. • Alessandro Stanziani - Product specification and standardization through the exchange, 18th-20th century A widespread interpretation maintains that, in the 19th century, in contrast to the Ancien Régime , the qualities of traded products were not specified by referring to guild regulations but to the terms of the contract. Disputes could be settled by comparing the business correspondence with the product actually delivered. On this ground, Reddy opposed the Ancien Régime, when product qualities were defined prior to trade, to later periods in which the process of definition took place during or after trade. We are going to put this assertion under question. For, although disputes about quality indeed arose under the Ancien Régime, similarly, in the 19th century, proof of fraud required a comparison between the product characteristics defined prior to trade and those resulting from contract performance. Hence the possibility of negotiating and changing some of these characteristics, even after an agreement was reached. This also means that the uncertainty about the quality of traded goods did not necessarily imply information asymmetry, but it could also result from shared uncertainty. Indeed, the aspects of labour and product specifications are inseparable from the operations used to define quality at the time of trade. It is this latter process that assigned a market value to the product characteristics as defined at the time of production. This analysis should be pushed farther; in a capitalist economy, exchange does more than verify production strategies, as all the schools of thought inspired by the classical English and Marxist approach have asserted. Product characteristics are defined not only at the moment of production, but also and above all at the time of trade . This is not only to say, in the wake of neoclassical economics, that consumer demand determines the strategy of producers, but rather that establishing an equivalence between price and use value and exchange value expresses the tensions and hierarchies between the various actors in a given industry. This is the scope in which we are going to study the definition of product quality; we will show that in the agri-business and food history as well as for manufactured products, standardisation was historically designed to meet the interests of wholesale traders in controlling the industry and to respond to the rise of international markets and their demand for standardised products. In the case of foodstuffs, hygiene and health concerns were also to contribute to the standardisation of these products. On the contrary, as regards other products, this issue, even if sometimes important, was not necessarily the most important. Indeed, many areas of negotiation entered into the process of standardising products at the local, national and international levels. The varying interests of the actors explain why, beyond technical constraints, product standardisation was never definitive but always partial and negotiated; it sometimes concerned certain characteristics and sometimes other aspects of the product. • Hans Van Miegroet • Patrick Wallis N8 -
The Cadastral Measure 18th c. -20thc. Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
Conferences have recently dealt with the invention and beginnings of «modern» cadastres in European countries with the maps or pictorial representations they involved. In this workshop, we would like to further address this logic focusing on cadastral evaluations. Those evaluations were a key element of the fiscal system; can it be assumed that they were also references for the economic property market? Organizers: • - De continuité et de rupture, l'élaboration de l'évaluation fiscale urbaine au tournant des XVIIIe-XIXe siècle, l'exemple de Paris
Les difficultés d'adaptation du nouveau système fiscal issu de la Révolution repose en partie sur le choix de conserver pour les villes et en particulier pour Paris, l'impôt foncier de l'Ancien Régime, le vingtième. Des calculs extrêmement complexes ont conduit à gonfler la "masse imposable" des bâtiments publics. En 1806, le directeur des Contributions directes tente de revenir aux évaluations initiales (celles du dernier vingtième en 1790) pour retrouver une estimation-test d'une part, et pour mesurer le glissement des valeurs foncières au cours des quinze années suivantes. Cet exercice difficile le conduit aussi à s'interroger sur la contribution foncière urbaine. • Carlo M. Travaglini • Nadine Vivier Participants: • Fabrice Boudjaaba - The “Cadastre”, a standard for the land market?
The amazing dispersion of the price of land transactions in rural pre-industrial societies is still difficult to explain. The different parameters to understand the price of a property are often difficult to establish. Some parameters (the weight of relationships, family and the charges ( noble or not) that affect the expected income land, soil quality, etc..) are not always easy to be taken into account. In an environment free of some of these uncertainties (with the emergence of a simple definition of property as a result of the introduction of the Civil Code 1804), the Napoleonic cadastre seems to provide a framework for the accurate assessment of the value of the property. Theoretically it assigns, to each plot, income commensurate with his qualities. • Clotilde Buhot • Virginie Capizzi • Andrea Maria Locatelli - Entre reforme fiscale et développement économique: les cadastres en Lombardie aux 18-19 siècles L’objectif de cette contribution est de présenter les caractéristiques des différents cadastres utilisés en Lombardie aux 18ème et 19ème siècles, à savoir l’«Autrichien» (introduit au 18ème dans la partie occidentale de la Lombardie appartenant à l’Autriche jusqu’à l’arrivée de Napoléon), le «Napoléonien» (introduit sur l’ensemble du territoire lombard par la République Cisalpine et ensuite par Napoléon), le «Lombardo-Vénéto» (introduit par les Autrichiens pendant la période de la Restauration et resté en vigueur jusqu’à la fin du 19ème siècle lors de l’arrivée du nouveau cadastre du Royaume d’Italie). On exposera en particulier les raisons expliquant le choix de certaines modalités d’évaluation des biens immeubles (basées sur une estimation précise de leurs dimensions et caractéristiques) ainsi que les longs travaux qui permirent de réaliser les estimes et de rédiger les cartes et registres (plus de trente ans dans le cas du cadastre le plus détaillé, à savoir le «Lombardo-Vénéto»). De plus, on identifiera les objectifs atteints par les gouvernements grâce à l’introduction de ces cadastres donnant une description détaillée des terres et de leurs mesures et y attribuant une valeur liée à la productivité du sol (ainsi qu’aux bâtiments). • Preston Perluss - Ownership, use and value : an evolutionary study of Paris real estate holdings on the Rue Dauphine
Cadastres seek to depict the value, ownership and use of properties at a given period for reasons of tax assessment. The presence of such types of documentation is obviously intimately linked to the nature of the sovereign authority exercising regal powers. In pre revolutionary France, the seigniorial system had prescinded various powers from a unified and concentrated whole into separated authorities, each exercising certain rights over the land. In Paris, a hierarchy of rights governed urban real-estate ownership. These rights did not always reflect the diverse values embodied within the urban property. Owners paid feudal dues whose value does not provide a faithful measure of construction costs, tenants paid rents, but the rental value usually exceeded the base rent since main tenants rented parts of buildings to subtenants. Sub-tenants paid sub-rents, but the latter values are difficult to ascertain as a result of scant documentation. How can we measure the evolution in the value of urban properties ? What parameters appear the most pertinent ? • Wouter Ronsijn - The cadastral measure in Belgium, nineteenth century: a study of Langdorp
The main aim of this paper is to give an overview of how the cadastral administration in the Southern Netherlands/Belgium in the nineteenth century attempted to asses the value of land, on which the land tax was based. I describe the organisation of the cadastre and the land tax, and pay particular attention to the method of the first estimations after the introduction of the Napoleonic cadastre in 1808, and the later revisions of the 1820’s and 1860’s. • Marie-Lucie Rossi - SOUS-ESTIMER LA RENTE FONCIÈRE POUR LAISSER FAIRE L’ESPRIT ENTREPRENEURIAL : LE CADASTRE AUSTRO ESTENSE À REGGIO EMILIA (1786-1864)
The study of land register Austro Estense (1786-1864) allows to ask the question of the specificity of the land taxation to Reggio Emilia by wondering why the government decides only to impose land private income (rendita fondiaria). Would he therefore like to encourage the development of the agricultural industry by investments of the landed owner in the business, in the functioning and in the working capital of the farm? This article by finding the criteria and the principles of the valuation of the taxation on the land tries to revalue the ideological role of the Austrian imperial accountancy and wants to assess the impact of this policy in the real economy by finding a strong increase of the agricultural income (reddito agrario) free of tax by a comparison between the fiscal valuation (stima censibile) and the mercantile valuation (stima venale). • Sylvain Schoonbaert - Péril en la demeure. L’évaluation cadastrale au service des projets de voirie : l’exemple de Bordeaux au milieu du XIXe siècle
Jeopardy in delay • Paolo Tedeschi - Entre reforme fiscale et développement économique : les cadastres en Lombardie aux 18ème et 19ème siècles • Yucel Terzibasoglu - Fiscal Assessment and the Question of Value in the Istanbul Cadastre of 1874
This paper will contextualise and analyse issues of tax assessment and valuation in the Istanbul cadastre of 1874. Contextualisation will involve the identification of fiscal aims of the property survey, the surveying practice, the type and categories of data that resulted from the survey, and the intended use of such data by the Ottoman urban administration. Essential for this contextualisation will be a discussion on the types of urban property found in Istanbul at this time (private, public, religious foundation), categories which were the subject of intense state efforts for re-definition and therefore severely contested by a number of urban actors within the context of the urban political economy of the empire. • Frédéric Tristram - L'évaluation cadastrale dans les années 1960 et 1970: un instrument de politique fiscale ?
Les évaluations cadastrales effectuées dans les années 1960 et au début des 1970 forment la dernière grande révision des bases de la fiscalité locale. • Rafael Vallejo - La Statistique territoriale en Espagne, 1845-1900
Cette communication étudie deux questions: Pourquoi est-ce qu'il échoue la Statistique territoriale (fiscale) dans l'Espagne entre 1845 et 1900? Pourquoi est-ce qu'il ne s'imposa pas le Cadastre? On attribue l'échec à la résistance des majeurs contribuables. Cette résistance se rend; c'est une cause de fond; mais cette cause n'est pas l'unique, ni peut-être la fondamentale. • Alp Yucel Kaya - Politics of Cadastral Measure in the Ottoman Provincial Towns in the 19th century In the mid-nineteenth century a number of property surveys were embarked upon in some of the major commercial centres of the Ottoman Empire (Izmir, Salonica, Bursa, Ioannina, Beirut). Instituting a regularized taxation system is the major intention of these projects. They involved subjecting different categories of property to a uniform system of taxation for the first time. This created a substantial resistance by certain urban actors, especially in Izmir. Taxation of real property on the first level, fiscal assessment of properties on the second level constituted the major sources of the contention. The central administration faced with the difficulty of imposing and collecting taxes in Izmir decided to set up a cadastral commission into which different representatives of the city were integrated to overcome the problem. The commission produced in 1856 an Organic Statute: the tax of the city of Izmir was fixed on the capital values of the immovable property registered in the cadastral registers; the commission decided therefore that each immovable property would pay 4 per thousand on the capital value registered during the estimation process of the cadastral registers. As for the ottoman property and fiscal system, these administrative experiences led the central administration undertake a model cadastre in 1858 in two big inland commercial centers in Bursa and Ioannina. The principles of property taxation of the Izmir’s Organic Statute and the cadastral regulation applied in Bursa and Ioannina were generalized in 1860 in the form of a cadastre regulation. The regulation of 1860 proposed a survey of all immovable properties, which were found both in the rural and in the urban settings of the Empire, by the local commissions. The assessment procedure presupposed that all of the immovable properties should be registered both by their capital value and rents. With regards to the imposition, we observe also the generalization of the tax of quotité: immovable properties were taxed 4 per thousand on their capital value; incomes resulting from immovable properties, that is rents, were taxed 4 per cent on their annual income. Nevertheless the assessment and registration of capital values and rents continued to be a contested domain during the second half of the nineteenth century. The paper will discuss the implication of this new property and cadastral regime and of the resistance to it and contextualize the efforts of the commissions and surveyors in their attempt to assessing the properties held in the Ottoman provincial towns in the mid-nineteenth century. P8 -
Monetary Policy in the peripheries under the gold standard Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
The literature on central banking and monetary policy under the gold standard is dominated by accounts built on empirics from the core countries of the regime (United Kingdom, France, Germany and the United States). However, in the recent years a number of detailed studies of the gold standard experience of what one might label more peripheral economies have emerged. (See for instance Ögren, A. (2003) (2006) (2007) Øksendal, L-F. (2007), Esteves, R, Reis, J. & Ferramosca, F. (2007), Martin-Aceña, P & Reis, J. (2000). One lesson learnt from these studies is that the theoretical framework that fits the core countries, are not fully applicable with regard to the peripheries. Organizers: • - Mastering the trilemma: Central bank policy in the advanced periphery under the classical gold standard – the case of Norway, 1893-1914 This essay examines Norwegian monetary policy under the final decades of the classical international gold standard regime prior to World War I. While the evidence clearly demonstrates that the commitment to gold convertibility was the overall objective, the character of monetary policy was determined by the inherent tension between Norges Bank’s role as the guardian of the nation’s most important reserve of foreign exchange and the role as manager of the domestic currency. In order to solve this tension, a core point of monetary policy was to shelter the domestic money supply from changes in the balance of payments. Rather than forcefully reducing domestic circulation during seasonal or business cycle fluctuations in the flow of gold, Norges Bank operated with a relatively large reserve of notes and foreign securities which took the strain. In this manner Norway managed to master the trilemma in the sense that although subjected to a regime based on fixed exchange rates and free capital movements, considerable leverage for policy autonomy was left intact. • Anders Ögren - Central Banking and Monetary Policy in Sweden under the long nineteenth century
A common and often repeated view on the Swedish national bank, the Riksbank, under the nineteenth century is that it was a more or less a commercial bank among others, with the exception that it was owned by the Parliament. Only with the Banking Act of 1897 and the ending of the private bank note issuance from 1903 is the Riksbank considered as a central bank; fulfilling the tasks of balancing the domestic liquidity with a stable value of the currency. Consequently it was the fact that private banks no longer could issue notes and that the Riksbank because of this from this on could control the money supply that made it a central bank in its modern meaning. Participants: • Boris Bulatovic - Serbia and Classical Gold Standard: Striving towards Standards of Latin Monetary Union Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
This paper analyzes the implementation process in Serbia during the second half of 19th century of the standards of gold-minting set by the Latin Monetary Union. • Rui Pedro Esteves • Luca Fantacci - Monetary policy in Southeast Europe on the road to the gold standard Since the establishment of the international gold standard, at the end of the 19th century, the possibility of attaining monetary stability in peripheral countries has been increasingly associated with the decision to peg their currency to an external reference. By contrast, the monetary system adopted in Europe over the previous five centuries had assured stability through the articulation between an internal currency for domestic exchanges and an external currency for foreign trade. The object of this research is to study the coexistence of different standards in the early history of Bulgarian money as a peculiar instance of the passage from the dual currency system of pre-modern Europe to the establishment of a uniform, national and international, all-purpose currency in the form of the gold standard. The broader goal is to enquire, in historical and comparative perspective, how different monetary regimes affect the degrees of freedom of monetary policy. • Concepcion Garcia-Iglesias - Monetary Policy in the Nordic Countries during the Classical Gold Standard Period - The Wicksellian View Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide In this paper, we adopt the Wicksellian view to monetary policy and estimate the structural Neo-Wicksellian model using the Bayesian Maximum Likelihood Methods for the Nordic countries during the period 1870-1913. Our findings suggest that discount rate adjustments were geared towards achieving price stability, although not perfectly. The impulse response analysis shows that the central bank was leaning-against-the-wind by increasing the discount rate in response to shocks that increased inflation, and thus the price level. Although the data are not always informative for pinning down the structural parameters, our results support the Wicksellian non-quantity view of monetary policy transmission mechanism. • Ola H Grytten - Price Stability in the Periphery during the international Gold Standard: The Scandinavian case
In the 1870s the three Scandinavian countries Denmark, Norway and Sweden formed the Scandinavian Currency Union. Both the adoption of gold and the monetary union were supposed to lead to price stability in and between these countries. By drawing on new indices of consumer prices the present paper offers an examination of price stability in the Scandinavian periphery during the heyday of the international gold standard. • Arngrim Hunnes • Akinobu Kuroda - Seasonality, paper monies, and peasant economy: an Asian perspective of the International Gold Standard System From the end of 19th century to early 20th century, except for China and Indochina, monetary system keeping convertibility in terms of gold had spread across Asia, regardless of politically independent like Japan or colonial like India. The period of two decades before WWI accompanied with favorable term of trade for some agricultural products which encouraged their export as industrial resources and foods for wage laborers. Asian countries increased their exports of raw cotton, soya, sesame, rice etc. which were mostly produced by small peasants. The rapidly increasing monetary demand for paying to peasants was supplied by issuance of paper monies and multi-denomination coins which had been unpopular before. In order to secure large quantities of peasant products significant amounts of ready cashes must have been transported to rural markets every harvest season. Potentially flexible monetary supplies to peasants could have a tension with the principle keeping convertibility between the standard money and paper monies or subsidiary coins. Convertibility among monies should mean no transaction cost in changing a money into another. However, it does not mean flexible supply could be guaranteed to both of monies. Extending compatible monies to small peasants in Asia heralded a new stage of world economy. However, it also meant that monetary tension which had locally solved became beyond control by local orders. Along this interpretation it is not coincidence that most of global financial crises from late 19th century to early 20th century were ignited in autumn, the harvest season. • Matthias Morys • Jaime Reis • Angela Milena Rojas Rivera - Domestic Public Debt, Gold Standard and Civil Wars: Institutional Interconnections in 19th-Century Colombia
This article analyzes the monetary and impacts of the domestic public debt in 19th-century Colombia. It shows the nature of this debt and its institutional evolution to ultimately sketch one side of the matrix of that century. The article draws upon the New Economic Institutionalism and it is derived from broader research where fiscal data and qualitative information were built by using primary sources. It points out the close link between the issuing of debt and both civil wars and monetary order. • Masato Shizume - The Japanese Economy during the Interwar Period: Instability in the Financial System and the Impact of the World Depression The Japanese economy during the interwar period faced chronic crises. Among them, the Showa Financial Crisis of 1927 and the Showa Depression of 1930-31 marked turning points. The Showa Financial Crisis of 1927 was the consequence of persistent financial instability because of the incomplete restructuring in the business sector and postponements in the disposal of bad loans by financial institutions. The crisis brought reforms in the financial sector through large-scale injections of public funds and the amalgamation of banks. The Showa Depression of 1930-31 was caused by the Great Depression, a worldwide economic collapse, which had been intensified in Japan by the return to the Gold Standard at the old parity. Japan escaped from the Great Depression earlier than most other countries through a series of macroeconomic stimulus measures initiated by Korekiyo Takahashi, a veteran Finance Minister who resumed office in December 1931. Takahashi instituted comprehensive macroeconomic policy measures, including exchange rate, fiscal, and monetary adjustments. At the same time, the Gold Standard, which had been governing Japan’s fiscal policy, collapsed in the wake of the British departure from it in December 1931. Then, Japan introduced a mechanism by which the government could receive easy credit from the central bank without establishing other institutional measures to govern its fiscal policy. This course of events resulted in an eventual loss of fiscal discipline. • Tobias Straumann - Core, periphery, and the collapse of the interwar gold standard Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide There is a broad consensus that the suspension of the gold standard was a precondition for the recovery from the world economic crisis of the 1930s. Furthermore, recent papers have identified a number of factors that were crucial in determining the time of the suspension: the resilience of the banking sector, trade openness and trade structures, the international creditor status as well as some institutional and political factors such as government instability (Wandschneider 2008, Wolf 2008). In our paper, we try to expand this research by using a different model specification and by interpreting the collapse of the gold standard from a core/periphery perspective. Our preliminary results suggest that the core/periphery perspective is enhancing a better understanding of the exchange rate choices made in the 1930s. They also make it necessary to go beyond the traditional notion of periphery. In particular, we believe that not only trade, but also financial maturity defined the choices available to countries of the periphery. • Stefano Ugolini - The Origins of Foreign Exchange Policy: The Targets of Foreign Portfolio Management. The National Bank of Belgium 1851-1853 Thanks to a new database, we analyse the techniques of foreign portfolio management by the first central bank having put in place a foreign reserve policy, i.e. the National Bank of Belgium. We find that a) the target of foreign reserve policy was the level of the Bank’s own liquidity, not the level of exchange rates or other macroeconomic factors, and that b) allocation of reserves to different currencies was dictated by profitability concerns. • Herman Van der Wee - Belgian Monetary Policy under the Gold Standard during the Interwar Period Q8 -
The 21st century global subsistence crisis in historical perspective Session abstract: Show Session abstract: Hide
The rapid increase in food prices and its serious economic, social, and political consequences surprised many people, including the international financial institutions such as FAO and World Bank. Yet this crisis has clear and obvious roots in the histories of agriculture, peasantries, the food system, the oil industry, and governmental policies. The proposals of International Financial Institutions and other groups and individuals to alleviate this crisis reflect these same roots and may perpetuate the fundamental problems they created. Organizer: • - From famine to food crisis. Local and global subsistence crises in historical perspective Famines are not what they used to be. By historical standards, the hunger crises of the past decades have been small crises. On the other hand the contemporary threat of a global food crisis changes our perception of the relationship between food availability and food security. Our ambition is to explain not only the ‘old’ famines of the past and the present, but also to understand ‘new’ forms of subsistence crises. By bringing together insights from historical famine studies and from contemporary interpretations of the relationship between food production and food distribution, we hope to surpass the analytical barriers between these two types of human suffering. Historical evidence, nowadays famine theories and perspectives about the fate of peasantries and food security in the 21th century inspire this tentative paper. Participants: • A. Haroon Akram-Lodhi - Excavating the global subsistence crisis: the agrarian question in historical perspective The price of basic staples continues to be punishingly high for many around the world, pushing tens of millions back into poverty. This paper argues that behind the observable sources of the global food crisis lie much deeper, more profound changes in the character of farming and agriculture on a world-scale. These changes can only be recognized by focusing on the contemporary relevance of the ‘agrarian question’, a 19th century analytical framework, which explores the ways in which, nationally and globally, capitalism is or is not transforming farming, food and agriculture. By tracing the history of an idea the paper argues that neoliberal globalization has reshaped the material conditions governing the rural production process, reconfiguring the relationships between capitalist farms, petty commodity producing peasants and semi-proletarians on a world-scale. This has affected processes of accumulation, which takes place within the extended reproduction of the internationalization of the circuit of capital. These have an impact on rural politics, but the way this plays out is a function of the relationship within and between the peasantry, dominant classes, and the state. So the agrarian question offers a framework by which to undertake a historically-informed and country-specific analysis of the material conditions governing production, reproduction and the process of agrarian accumulation or its lack thereof, but one that is set within the law of value and market imperatives that operate on a world scale. It offers a clearer understanding of the dynamic structural changes that have transformed contemporary rural livelihoods in the 21st century, and is thus a basis by which to understand the global subsistence crisis. • Dulce Freire - 'In the time of hunger...' Agriculture, public supply and social movements in Portugal in the mid-20th century Paper summary: Show Paper summary: Hide
Hunger affected a large proportion of the population of Portugal for almost all of the twentieth century. The low levels of both agricultural productivity and income, which were associated with the import and public supply policies, contributed to a generalised scarcity of essential goods. At certain points these shortages were extreme to the point that they became problems with an immediate social and political impact. • Cormac O'Grada • Vicente Pinilla - The Evolution and Changing Geographical Structure of World Agri-food Trade, 1951-2000
Our objective is to examine the performance, evolution and changing geographical structure of agri-food trade in the second half of the 20th century. To this end, we have constructed a set of both aggregate series and breakdowns by region, which we shall compare with agri-food growth rates in other historical periods, the evolution of the world economy and the expansion of trade in other products. • Raúl Serrano
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